On Saturday, October 14th, Australians head to the polls to decide the Voice to Parliament Referendum.

In this episode, we’re not looking at the referendum, but rather the polling around it. Plus, what makes referendum polling different to polling in a regular election.

Our guest is Professor Simon Jackman from the University of Sydney. Professor Jackman has three decades of experience researching, teaching, and communicating about political science and data science in the United States and Australia.

Until last year, Simon led the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney. Before that, he spent 20 years at Stanford University.  He is a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences in Australia, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the Society for Political Methodology.

Our host is Cynthia Huang, a PhD Candidate at Monash University in the Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.

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Bonus Links

• Poll Averaging analysis for the Voice Referendum from Prof Jackman: https://simonjackman.github.io/poll_averaging_voice_2023/poll_averaging.html
• Stories in The Conversation co-written by Professor Jackman:
  • The ‘yes’ Voice campaign is far outspending ‘no’ in online advertising, but is the message getting through? (September 26th)
  • The ‘no’ campaign is dominating the messaging on the Voice referendum on TikTok – here’s why (September 12th)
  • Voice referendum: is the ‘yes’ or ‘no’ camp winning on social media, advertising spend and in the polls? (August 30th)